Diaconis: The Problem of Thinking Too Much

by Yang Liu

UNIVERSITY SEMINAR ON LOGIC, PROBABILITY, AND GAMES
The Problem of Thinking Too Much

Persi Diaconis (Stanford University)
4:10 pm, Friday, September 16, 2016
Faculty House, Columbia University

Abstract. We all know the problem: you sit there, turning things over, and nothing gets done.  Indeed, there are examples where “quick and dirty,” throwing away information, dominate.  My examples wil be from Bayesian statistics and the mathematics of coin tossing, but I will try to survey some of the work in psychology, philosophy, and economics.

More about the seminar here.

We will be having dinner right after the meeting at the faculty house. Please let Robby know if you will be joining us so that he can make an appropriate reservation (please be advised that at this point the university only agrees to cover the expenses of the speaker and the rapporteur and that the cost for all others is $25, payable by cash or check).